USDINR Analysis
  • 03 January, 2024 Rajesh Tatineni

USDINR Analysis

Afternoon Session: USDINR currently finds itself at a crucial juncture on the 4-hour chart ahead of critical US Economic Data, what’s your move?

 

 

Highlights

  • Brace yourselves for heightened market activity as the US session unfolds, with JOLTS job openings and FOMC meeting minutes
  • USDINR currently finds itself at a crucial juncture on the 4-hour chart
  • Traders should tread cautiously, closely monitoring the 61.8% Fib level

Overview:

As we slowly stepping into the US session, a confluence of economic data awaits, with JOLTS job openings and the minutes from December’s FOMC meeting poised to take center stage. The implications of these releases are far-reaching, and for USDINR traders, the stakes are particularly high. Buckle up for what promises to be a session marked by heightened volatility and potential market-shaping events.

Technical Crossroads

On the 4-hour chart, the USDINR pair is currently perched at a critical level – the support of the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement at 83.20. This level not only coincides with today's low but also acts as a make-or-break point for the pair. Should this support falter, the path is paved for a potential descent towards 83.14 (50% Fib) and 83.08 (38% Fib) levels.

However, all is not doom and gloom for the USDINR bulls. If the 61.8% Fib level holds firm, it could serve as a springboard for an upward move. This scenario hinges not only on the technical resilience of this support but also on the unfolding narrative driven by the impending economic data releases.

Trade Strategy Amidst Uncertainty

In navigating these uncertain waters, traders are urged to exercise caution. The pivotal nature of the 61.8% Fib level demands close attention. Should this level stand strong and economic events favor the US dollar, USDINR could rally. The initial target lies at 83.40, representing the first resistance level. Further upside potential includes revisiting the highs of December 14th and 13th, marked at 83.46.

Conversely, a breach of the 61.8% Fib support necessitates a defensive stance. Traders should be prepared for potential downside moves, with 83.14 and 83.08 serving as critical support levels.

Conclusion

As we navigate the upcoming events and their potential impact on USDINR, a blend of technical analysis and situational awareness is key. The market's response to the 61.8% Fib level will likely provide a roadmap for the pair's trajectory. Traders, fasten your seatbelts – the journey ahead is poised to be both dynamic and decisive.

Support and Resistance Levels